Methodology
How Starilum forecasts demand
Starilum does not just ask 'is this trending?'. It scores demand quality across six signals and subtracts the risk.
Demand quality formula
Community Fit+ signal
Repeat Behaviour+ signal
Cross-Platform Signal+ signal
Creator Participation+ signal
Wallet Intent+ signal
Visual / Immersive Fit+ signal
Risk Factorsโ adjustment
The result is a single demand-quality score per release, paired with confidence, assumptions and risk flags. Outputs are always labelled as expected outcome, forecast range, confidence level โ never as guaranteed result.
The seven questions
- 1Who wants this?
- 2Why do they want it?
- 3Will they repeat it?
- 4Will they participate?
- 5Will they spend?
- 6Can it become a world, event or commercial asset?
- 7What risks reduce the opportunity?
